Brief article on hackers attacking government websites in Estonia consequent on moving of Soviet war memorial. Even briefer reference to cyberwar and to a group called “Titan rain” based in China…allegedly. Sounds like the Hong Kong Bolndes in a double bluff to me, but what would I know? Titan rain? Surely there would be better Chinese heroes to refer to then the enemies of Olympus? But again, what would I know?
Title: Determining how journeys-to-crime vary: Measuring inter- and intra-offender crime trip distributions
Abstract: Journey to crime studies have attempted to illuminate aspects of offender decision making that have implications for theory and practice. This article argues that our current understanding of journey to crime is incomplete as the aggregate distribution of crime trips (commonly known as the distance decay) does not take into account the considerable variation that exists between individual offenders’ crime trip distributions. Moreover, the common assumption of statistical independence between observations that make up a distribution is something that, until now, has yet to be tested for distributions of crime trips of multiple offenders. In order to explore these issues, three years of burglary data from a UK police force were linked to thirty-two prolific offenders to generate journey to crime distributions at the aggregate and offender levels. Using multi-level models it was demonstrated that the bulk (65%) of the variation of journeys to crime exists at the offender level, indicating that individual crime trips are not statistically independent. In addition the distance decay pattern found at the aggregate level was not, in the main, observed at the offender level – a result that runs counter to conventional wisdom. The implications of these findings are discussed.
Dr. Michael Townsley is a Lecturer in the School of Criminology and Criminal Justice, Griffith University. He has previously held research positions at the UCL Jill Dando Institute of Crime Science, University College London and University of Liverpool. Michael’s research interests include problem oriented policing, crime analysis and crime prevention. He completed his PhD in 2001 on spatial and temporal distributions of residential burglary.
Bit of a scary title: you will research what we do! [and find it good!] Sounds like the dear old British Home Office [see previous post]. But this one, I wish I had the money to visit. Lot of good research and researchers down under.
Washington Post piece on Venezuela’s realisation that US scoring propaganda points on the cocaine issue that undermine Chavez’s revolutionary credentials. Lots of accusation and counter-accusation. But if the US wont let Venezuela buy planes, bit difficult for them to intercept traffickers except on the ground. Bit slow really.
The real audience is the rest of Latin America. Cross-border crime is increasingly a political pawn rather than something to be defeated by transnational cooperation. Sometimes you wonder who benefits from all the noise?
This is not “Scotland Yard”, home of the Metropolitan Police. This is the City of London police, another of those quaint British mediaeval anomalies. The important seachange is near he bottom of the article: Mark Pieth, the chairman of the OECD working group on bribery, said: ‘The findings from this research are remarkable. Those surveyed are employed to protect their companies from prosecution; calling for more prosecutions is not in their self-interest. But companies’ integrity has been called into question by the failure of authorities to properly investigate and prosecute instances of bribery. Nowhere is this more acute than in the UK where, despite high profile cases, no prosecution has been brought in the 10 years since the UK government adopted the OECD anti-bribery convention.’
The research is a survey of legal and compliance officers in the City of London [the Square Mile] part of the European Survey of Corporate Integrity [oxymoron there, surely?] This must be the first time these people have actively supported intervention against insider trading. They’ll be getting ethics next!
Today’s concession to non-English readers. Piece from Le Monde about French authorities intentions, which may include intervention by the Gendarmerie’s specialist unit. Ive missed this item in the UK press, but there have been others on the increasing threat of piracy in the area. Bring back Julius Caesar! CNN has the story here: http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/africa/04/04/cruiseship.pirates.ap/index.html
Interesting piece, suggesting that al Qaeda is preparing a strategy against counter-radicalisation initiatives around the world. Bin Laden is seen amongst radicals as a great jihadist, but not a great scholar. Here we have a scholar who has also made a daring escape from Bagram air base/prison in Afghanistan. A more coherent argument with mainstream scholars will now take place and could prove decisive in the recruitment process.
Abu Yahya al-Libi will be a major target for security forces around the world now.
Wow! This is a big one! Follows two previous decisions, in favour of the Iranian Mujahedin and the al Aqsa foundation.
Court of First Instance acting here, not the European Court of Human Rights. US observers may need a tutorial on supranational law in Europe. ECHR is a court that applies the Convention on Human Rights, signed back in 1951, to all states in Europe who signed it. Court of First instance is the second highest court in the European Union [which is not the whole of Europe, OK????]